Bihar Assembly Election 2025: Exit Polls Predict NDA’s Return to Power
Exit polls for the 2025 Bihar Assembly Election indicate a decisive victory for the ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by Chief Minister Nitish Kumar’s Janata Dal (United) and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). Most surveys suggest the alliance is on course to comfortably cross the 122-seat majority mark in the 243-member assembly, securing a second consecutive term in power.
Key Exit Poll Projections
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NDA: Projected to win between 133 and 167 seats.
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Mahagathbandhan (MGB): Estimated to secure between 70 and 108 seats.
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Others (including independents and smaller parties): Expected to win a few scattered seats, with limited impact on the overall outcome.
Across agencies — including People’s Pulse, Polstrat, Matrize, P-Marq, and others — the trend remains consistent: the NDA holds a clear edge, with most projections showing 140+ seats.
Polling and Voter Turnout
The 2025 Bihar polls saw a notably high voter turnout, reaching around 67.14% in the second phase — one of the highest in the state’s electoral history. Observers note strong participation from women voters, reflecting increased political engagement across demographics.
Context and Comparison
In the 2020 Bihar Assembly elections, the NDA secured 125 seats, narrowly defeating the Mahagathbandhan (MGB), which had won 110.
This year’s exit polls suggest the NDA may not only retain power but slightly improve its tally, while the MGB, led by RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav, appears to be falling short of the majority threshold.
While the exit polls point towards a clear NDA victory, political analysts caution that these are indicative, not conclusive.
The official results, to be announced by the Election Commission of India on November 14, 2025, will provide the final verdict on Bihar’s political mandate.
